Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.040315 0.043953 0.047638 0.051643 0.055866 0.060180 0.064914
2025-08-03 0.035227 0.040634 0.046307 0.052678 0.059607 0.066891 0.075102
2025-08-10 0.029344 0.035750 0.042701 0.050747 0.059742 0.069436 0.080615
2025-08-17 0.025538 0.032704 0.040719 0.050241 0.061140 0.073129 0.087212
2025-08-24 0.022422 0.030110 0.038956 0.049720 0.062301 0.076388 0.093201
2025-08-31 0.020905 0.029223 0.039021 0.051178 0.065627 0.082033 0.101854
2025-09-07 0.019392 0.028183 0.038776 0.052161 0.068315 0.086892 0.109584
2025-09-14 0.017910 0.027046 0.038299 0.052768 0.070482 0.091095 0.116526
2025-09-21 0.016404 0.025752 0.037521 0.052913 0.072022 0.094508 0.122513
2025-09-28 0.015628 0.025348 0.037810 0.054338 0.075088 0.099724 0.130636
2025-10-05 0.014070 0.023773 0.036496 0.053660 0.075496 0.101699 0.134866
2025-10-12 0.012979 0.022760 0.035849 0.053770 0.076838 0.104772 0.140393
2025-10-19 0.012204 0.022166 0.035754 0.054615 0.079150 0.109104 0.147558
2025-10-26 0.011642 0.021845 0.036002 0.055899 0.082026 0.114155 0.155641
2025-11-02 0.010065 0.019893 0.033909 0.053986 0.080733 0.113984 0.157295
2025-11-09 0.009087 0.018779 0.032922 0.053505 0.081246 0.116038 0.161673
2025-11-16 0.008187 0.017714 0.031945 0.052983 0.081666 0.117946 0.165854
2025-11-23 0.007932 0.017677 0.032453 0.054514 0.084807 0.123324 0.174396
2025-11-30 0.007561 0.017418 0.032613 0.055544 0.087276 0.127852 0.181891
2025-12-07 0.007116 0.016999 0.032506 0.056179 0.089206 0.131688 0.188527
2025-12-14 0.006588 0.016391 0.032079 0.056332 0.090467 0.134654 0.194066
2025-12-21 0.006406 0.016388 0.032578 0.057818 0.093550 0.139999 0.202652
2025-12-28 0.005752 0.015465 0.031595 0.057111 0.093598 0.141369 0.206159